Sunday, December 4, 2011

What is the null hypothesis and alternative hypothesis?

The mean SAT score in mathematics is 481. The founders of a nationwide SAT preparation course claim that graduates of the course score higher, on average, than the national mean. Suppose that the founders of the course want to carry out a hypothesis test to see if their claim has merit.





What is the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis that they would use?|||The null hypothesis would be:


H₀: μ ≤ 481 vs the alternate


H₁: μ %26gt; 481








Consider the hypothesis as a trial against the null hypothesis. the data is evidence against the mean. you assume the mean is true and try to prove that it is not true. After finding the test statistic and p-value, if the p-value is less than or equal to the significance level of the test we reject the null and conclude the alternate hypothesis is true. If the p-value is greater than the significance level then we fail to reject the null hypothesis and conclude it is plausible. Note that we cannot conclude the null hypothesis is true, just that it is plausible.





If the question statement asks you to determine if there is a difference between the statistic and a value, then you have a two tail test, the null hypothesis, for example, would be μ = d vs the alternate hypothesis μ ≠ d





if the question ask to test for an inequality you make sure that your results will be worth while. for example. say you have a steel bar that will be used in a construction project. if the bar can support a load of 100,000 psi then you'll use the bar, if it cannot then you will not use the bar.





if the null was μ ≥ 100,000 vs the alternate μ %26lt; 100,000 then will will have a meaningless test. in this case if you reject the null hypothesis you will conclude that the alternate hypothesis is true and the mean load the bar can support is less than 100,000 psi and you will not be able to use the bar. However, if you fail to reject the null then you will conclude it is plausible the mean is greater than or equal to 100,000. You cannot ever conclude that the null is true. as a result you should not use the bar because you do not have proof that the mean strength is high enough.





if the null was μ ≤ 100,000 vs. the alternate μ %26gt; 100,000 and you reject the null then you conclude the alternate is true and the bar is strong enough; if you fail to reject it is plausible the bar is not strong enough, so you don't use it. in this case you have a meaningful result.





Any time you are defining the hypothesis test you need to consider whether or not the results will be meaningful.|||The null hypothesis is always that the different treatment does not make a significant difference. So, in this case, the null hypothesis is that a prep course does not raise scores. The alternative hypothesis is that it does.|||Null: There is no significant difference in SAT scores between subjects who graduate from the SAT preparation course and those who do not.





Alternative: Graduates from the SAT preparation course will have higher SATS than non-graduates.

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